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Its all about Philippine basketball! I am Bigmatch and I am the one behind this blog. I am a very avid PBA fan and I love the PBA more than any team.

SF Game 3: Meralco VS TNT - Heating Up

(c) PBA Media Bureau

Meralco shocked the PBA universe by upsetting the top seed, TNT Tropang Texters in game 2. Can they repeat that in game 3? Let us see.

THE KEYS
Key Match-up: Chris Newsome VS Ryan Reyes
Key Stats: Fouls
Key Question: When will Mychal Ammons step up in offense?

Prediction

I will need to predict this without the help of numbers. Newsome and Reyes continue to be the game changer of this series. The one who outplays the other, swings the tide of the game. Meralco continued their bombing inside so TNT should be careful with their fouls.

I think, time has come for Ammons to show up more on their offense. If he doesn't Meralco will continue to sag off him. Which makes it harder for the locals to make plays.

I am going with an upset here. I expect game 3 to be a close one that Allen Durnham will seal in the 4th quarter.

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Trust me, the war is just beginning. I have this feeling that game 5 will be reached but let us talk first about game 3. 

What happened in game 2? SMB got the lead early and kept enough firepower to survived the comeback of Ginebra. The biggest adjustment was the more aggressive Elijah Millsap who went for 29 shots but only managed 9 makes. Even with that inefficiency, his aggressiveness magnet the defense and open up his teammates. 

One thing that Ginebra can smile of from game 2 was their assists. If they can do that again, that will be a great advantage in this game.

THE KEYS
Key Match-up: LA Tenorio VS Marcio Lassiter
Key Stats: Rebounding
Key Question: Does Japeth needs another peptalk?

Prediction

LA Tenorio and Marcio Lassiter will not really face each other in the court but they are the best outside gunner of their team and that will be important in this game. We all saw the magnified effect of the long bombs in game 1 and I can see that happening again soon. 

Numbers don't lie, rebounding is a key in this series. 

9 points, 6 rebounds, 4 blocks and 4 turnovers are not acceptable numbers for Japeth. Greg is not there to clean up his mess so he needs to show up, consistently. 

Marcio is getting into his rhythm and I expect a more focus Fajardo to control the rebounds in this game. In short, San Miguel will win.

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SF Game 2: TNT VS Meralco - Older Brother Rules?

(c) PBA Media Bureau

As expected, TNT was dominant in their game 1. Can they repeat that again in this game?



TNT basically played regularly and Meralco just failed to come up with the right tactical adjustments during the game. Meralco will be best serve if they will not allow another 50% shooting from beyond the arc. 

THE KEYS
Key Match-up: Ranidel de Ocampo VS Cliff Hodge
Key Stats: Fouls
Key Question: More post plays or more three-point attempts for the Bolts?

Prediction
Cliff Hodge was his usual self yesterday. One of the greatest trait of Cliff is the consistency of his defense, hustle and drive. Ranidel de Ocampo should try to suppress any uprising created by the energy and consistency of Cliff.

Meralco was called for 25 fouls yesterday. That was not acceptable because they only drew 13 fouls. Should the Bolts focus more  on one scoring area or will they again try to do it both ways?

I am going again with TNT here. I think, this is the game where Jayson Castro will takeover to win the game.

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